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This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.


CHANGES IN FUTURE ISSUES

From the August 2004 issue of this publication, Sports Utility Vehicles (SUVs) will be separately identified in the original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimates.

Currently SUVs are included in the other vehicles category. Data will be backdated to January 1994.


JULY 2004 KEY POINTS

Trend

The trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles fell 0.4% to 78,488 in July 2004, the second consecutive monthly fall. When compared with July 2003 (78,491) the trend estimate has shown little change.

Sales of new passenger vehicles recorded a trend decrease for the third consecutive month, declining 0.8% for July 2004. Sales of other new vehicles increased 0.2% in July 2004, continuing the increasing trend since May 2001.

Queensland, Western Australia, Tasmania and the Australian Capital Territory recorded increases in the trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles in July 2004. All other states and territories recorded decreases.

Seasonally adjusted

The seasonally adjusted estimate for sales of new motor vehicles fell 2.2% to 78,003 in July 2004. Passenger vehicle sales decreased 5.2% to 47,276 and sales of other vehicles increased 2.9% to 30,727 in July 2004.


NOTES


TREND REVISIONS

Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information see Explanatory Notes 9 and 10.

The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.

Table 1: New Motor Vehicle Sales

		Passenger vehicles (No.)	Other vehicles (No.)	Total vehicles (No.)	Change Passenger vehicles (%)	Change Other vehicles (%)	Change Total vehicles (%)
Original
2003	May	49,646	28,616	78,262	11.3	17.9	13.6
	June	57,086	34,972	92,058	15.0	22.2	17.6
	July	51,450	28,071	79,521	-9.9	-19.7	-13.6
	August	49,869	26,304	76,173	-3.1	-6.3	-4.2
	September	51,749	26,042	77,791	3.8	-1.0	2.1
	October	52,180	27,045	79,225	0.8	3.9	1.8
	November	48,482	27,630	76,112	-7.1	2.2	-3.9
	December	49,834	27,952	77,786	2.8	1.2	2.2
2004	January	40,715	24,082	64,797	-18.3	-13.8	-16.7
	February	47,876	28,001	75,877	17.6	16.3	17.1
	March	53,728	32,318	86,046	12.2	15.4	13.4
	April	44,079	27,226	71,305	-18.0	-15.8	-17.1
	May	46,168	32,111	78,279	4.7	17.9	9.8
	June	58,284	38,928	97,212	26.2	21.2	24.2
	July	46,724	30,311	77,035	-19.8	-22.1	-20.8
Seasonally Adjusted
2003	May	50,179	26,418	76,597	2.3	-0.6	1.2
	June	50,097	27,389	77,486	-0.2	3.7	1.2
	July	50,028	27,612	77,640	-0.1	0.8	0.2
	August	51,171	27,278	78,449	2.3	-1.2	1.0
	September	53,079	27,671	80,750	3.7	1.4	2.9
	October	49,226	27,676	76,902	-7.3	0.0	-4.8
	November	48,344	28,268	76,612	-1.8	2.1	-0.4
	December	46,051	27,133	73,184	-4.7	-4.0	-4.5
2004	January	49,440	29,727	79,167	7.4	9.6	8.2
	February	50,201	29,548	79,749	1.5	-0.6	0.7
	March	49,239	29,971	79,210	-1.9	1.4	-0.7
	April	48,222	29,187	77,409	-2.1	-2.6	-2.3
	May	48,080	30,942	79,022	-0.3	6.0	2.1
	June	49,873	29,864	79,737	3.7	-3.5	0.9
	July	47,276	30,727	78,003	-5.2	2.9	-2.2
Trend
2003	May	49,662	26,657	76,319	1.5	1.6	1.6
	June	50,470	27,080	77,550	1.6	1.6	1.6
	July	51,067	27,424	78,491	1.2	1.3	1.2
	August	51,221	27,646	78,867	0.3	0.8	0.5
	September	50,910	27,784	78,694	-0.6	0.5	-0.2
	October	50,316	27,967	78,283	-1.2	0.7	-0.5
	November	49,643	28,207	77,850	-1.3	0.9	-0.6
	December	49,055	28,530	77,585	-1.2	1.1	-0.3
2004	January	48,725	28,920	77,645	-0.7	1.4	0.1
	February	48,705	29,310	78,015	0.0	1.3	0.5
	March	48,846	29,664	78,510	0.3	1.2	0.6
	April	48,864	29,964	78,828	0.0	1.0	0.4
	May	48,677	30,195	78,872	-0.4	0.8	0.1
	June	48,443	30,391	78,834	-0.5	0.6	0.0
	July	48,046	30,442	78,488	-0.8	0.2	-0.4

		NSW (No.)	Vic. (No.)	Qld (No.)	SA (No.)	WA (No.)	Tas. (No.)	NT (No.)	ACT (No.)	Aust. (No.)
Original
2003	May	26,259	21,053	14,967	5,273	7,127	1,454	789	1,340	78,262
	June	31,168	24,132	18,084	6,089	8,662	1,549	866	1,508	92,058
	July	26,983	21,248	15,716	5,298	6,973	1,407	635	1,261	79,521
	August	25,391	19,799	15,248	5,263	7,048	1,589	555	1,280	76,173
	September	25,738	21,200	15,293	5,222	6,894	1,639	593	1,212	77,791
	October	25,533	21,337	15,521	5,430	7,487	2,008	607	1,302	79,225
	November	25,099	20,254	15,058	5,214	6,925	1,717	630	1,215	76,112
	December	25,113	21,071	15,265	5,404	7,161	1,860	593	1,319	77,786
2004	January	21,216	16,857	13,403	4,334	6,249	1,193	498	1,047	64,797
	February	24,955	19,727	15,901	5,059	7,113	1,297	686	1,139	75,877
	March	28,118	22,137	18,611	5,561	8,086	1,343	912	1,278	86,046
	April	23,033	19,083	14,831	4,670	6,529	1,229	812	1,118	71,305
	May	25,649	20,106	16,373	5,215	7,296	1,513	918	1,209	78,279
	June	31,438	23,929	22,026	6,436	8,969	1,982	958	1,474	97,212
	July	25,031	19,410	17,141	4,949	7,228	1,449	646	1,181	77,035
Seasonally Adjusted
2003	May	25,721	20,744	14,728	5,085	6,946	1,413	662	1,298	76,597
	June	25,976	20,948	14,799	5,081	7,256	1,481	657	1,288	77,486
	July	25,789	20,877	15,239	5,219	7,110	1,506	648	1,252	77,640
	August	26,350	20,431	15,705	5,339	7,184	1,566	600	1,274	78,449
	September	27,360	21,185	15,882	5,412	7,326	1,605	686	1,294	80,750
	October	24,657	20,088	15,672	5,333	7,266	1,989	634	1,263	76,902
	November	24,764	20,317	15,662	5,255	7,103	1,631	647	1,233	76,612
	December	23,855	19,772	14,356	5,128	6,918	1,268	645	1,242	73,184
2004	January	26,253	20,708	16,241	5,334	7,243	1,524	641	1,223	79,167
	February	26,407	20,840	16,627	5,209	7,194	1,522	745	1,205	79,749
	March	25,833	20,624	16,785	5,196	7,349	1,416	807	1,200	79,210
	April	25,142	20,555	16,147	5,102	7,058	1,458	741	1,206	77,409
	May	25,462	20,500	16,878	5,176	7,507	1,519	778	1,202	79,022
	June	25,569	20,398	17,370	5,359	7,225	1,861	742	1,213	79,737
	July	25,206	19,708	17,090	4,947	7,610	1,545	668	1,229	78,003
Trend
2003	May	25,612	20,557	14,763	5,119	6,901	1,419	671	1,277	76,319
	June	26,041	20,767	15,072	5,180	7,054	1,483	662	1,291	77,550
	July	26,343	20,892	15,333	5,238	7,171	1,557	656	1,301	78,491
	August	26,399	20,895	15,483	5,288	7,231	1,619	649	1,303	78,867
	September	26,234	20,801	15,526	5,315	7,226	1,654	642	1,296	78,694
	October	25,980	20,677	15,540	5,316	7,192	1,653	642	1,283	78,283
	November	25,731	20,569	15,574	5,296	7,155	1,614	648	1,263	77,850
	December	25,553	20,511	15,665	5,258	7,139	1,553	665	1,241	77,585
2004	January	25,496	20,517	15,857	5,224	7,144	1,493	692	1,222	77,645
	February	25,553	20,552	16,140	5,208	7,172	1,458	722	1,210	78,015
	March	25,648	20,580	16,449	5,200	7,224	1,458	745	1,206	78,510
	April	25,654	20,548	16,709	5,189	7,284	1,482	756	1,206	78,828
	May	25,551	20,435	16,907	5,172	7,340	1,505	754	1,208	78,872
	June	25,435	20,293	17,078	5,151	7,397	1,526	744	1,210	78,834
	July	25,230	20,100	17,125	5,119	7,438	1,530	730	1,216	78,488